Comments on: January 4 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/ Join the Rumor Queen as she looks for the latest rumors and then analyzes them, trying to figure out what the CCAA will do next. Tue, 22 May 2012 17:03:14 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.4 By: tanyabutler http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-51036 tanyabutler Thu, 13 Mar 2008 23:03:39 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-51036 rq i was wondering what your predictions are for lid of march 22 06 rq i was wondering what your predictions are for lid of march 22 06

]]> By: tanyabutler http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-51032 tanyabutler Thu, 13 Mar 2008 22:46:53 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-51032 hi everyone, we are a lid of march 22 2006, so close but yet so far away, at least 2005 is behind us...this is my first time to this site and i love it, great work rumor queen...we are from canada... hi everyone, we are a lid of march 22 2006, so close but yet so far away, at least 2005 is behind us…this is my first time to this site and i love it, great work rumor queen…we are from canada…

]]> By: WelcomehomeKelly http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-50603 WelcomehomeKelly Thu, 06 Mar 2008 22:41:49 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-50603 rjk, My magic 8 ball says May for you...I so want it to hit the 11th next month but I think it's going to stop at the 10th. I hope I am right for your sake. I just wonder how China looks at the numbers and what numbers they see. What are your thoughts on 2/6/06? Any good words of encouragement? rjk,

My magic 8 ball says May for you…I so want it to hit the 11th next month but I think it’s going to stop at the 10th. I hope I am right for your sake.

I just wonder how China looks at the numbers and what numbers they see.

What are your thoughts on 2/6/06? Any good words of encouragement?

]]> By: rjk http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-50568 rjk Thu, 06 Mar 2008 00:43:08 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-50568 WelcomehomeKelly: Since your predictions have come true, could you please make a forecast for LIDer's of 1/13...................... Pretty Please! WelcomehomeKelly:

Since your predictions have come true, could you please make a forecast for LIDer’s of 1/13………………….
Pretty Please!

]]> By: WelcomehomeKelly http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-50563 WelcomehomeKelly Wed, 05 Mar 2008 23:05:12 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-50563 There seems to be a misunderstanding in what I posted. I am not arguing regarding whether RQ should post in terms of days vs LID #'s. I was simply stating that the numbers are what they are and getting an 8 day batch should no longer be considered a "Horrid" case. My husband and I looked at the previous polls and made our own predictions based on those numbers. We basically counted off by 100 and wrote down the date we thought would be the cut off. So far, we have been on the date for the months we have made predictions. So what has changed? The numbers seem to be the same regardless of how many days are posted. I just don't agree that we should call it "horrid" anymore. It's a new year, I need all of the positive I can get regardless if I have to wait 6 more months or 3 more years. It is what it is. Stephanie LID 2/6/06 There seems to be a misunderstanding in what I posted. I am not arguing regarding whether RQ should post in terms of days vs LID #’s. I was simply stating that the numbers are what they are and getting an 8 day batch should no longer be considered a “Horrid” case. My husband and I looked at the previous polls and made our own predictions based on those numbers. We basically counted off by 100 and wrote down the date we thought would be the cut off. So far, we have been on the date for the months we have made predictions. So what has changed? The numbers seem to be the same regardless of how many days are posted. I just don’t agree that we should call it “horrid” anymore. It’s a new year, I need all of the positive I can get regardless if I have to wait 6 more months or 3 more years. It is what it is.

Stephanie
LID 2/6/06

]]> By: waitingformiaya http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-50558 waitingformiaya Wed, 05 Mar 2008 22:26:08 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-50558 Eight Days is Eight Days, no matter if weekends, holidays, or whatever is included. So what if there were days when no one was logged in! We crossed 8 days off the calendar, we had 16 days to go, now we have 8. Eight Days is Eight Days, no matter if weekends, holidays, or whatever is included. So what if there were days when no one was logged in!

We crossed 8 days off the calendar, we had 16 days to go, now we have 8.

]]> By: fjm http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-50537 fjm Wed, 05 Mar 2008 18:43:16 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-50537 I have read the comments about LIDs vs. # of Days. I agree with Kylasfamily's analysis. I also admire RQs analysis as hers is the most "scientific" method of making projections that anyone can come up with considering our limited knowledge of what's going on in China. However, knowing and acknowledging the intellectually honest and best approach used by RQ, I, for myself can find a bit of peace and predictability in going by # of Days--the numbers of LIDs fluctuate widely each month. Days are countable. So while an 8 day batch may have very few LIDs, another 8 day batch has a lot. And it just seems that the CCAA seems to default to 7-8 day batches regardless of numbers of LID.... This keeps me from dreaming of a two week batch over CNY when supposedly there were no LIDs. I don't want to be disappointed when they refer the smallest number ever and that corresponds to just 7 days over CNY. These is just my personal thought to have someway of tracking things. I have read the comments about LIDs vs. # of Days.

I agree with Kylasfamily’s analysis. I also admire RQs analysis as hers is the most “scientific” method of making projections that anyone can come up with considering our limited knowledge of what’s going on in China.

However, knowing and acknowledging the intellectually honest and best approach used by RQ, I, for myself can find a bit of peace and predictability in going by # of Days–the numbers of LIDs fluctuate widely each month. Days are countable. So while an 8 day batch may have very few LIDs, another 8 day batch has a lot. And it just seems that the CCAA seems to default to 7-8 day batches regardless of numbers of LID…. This keeps me from dreaming of a two week batch over CNY when supposedly there were no LIDs. I don’t want to be disappointed when they refer the smallest number ever and that corresponds to just 7 days over CNY. These is just my personal thought to have someway of tracking things.

]]> By: mrsrolandi http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-50530 mrsrolandi Wed, 05 Mar 2008 17:46:46 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-50530 I could not agree more with kylasfamily. I think we all need to realize that the bottom line is that we do not have any control over what is happening. I think that reading into "the numbers" too much is very symptomatic of attempting to predict or control what is going on. As someone who has waited for greater than two years, trust me, we have NO control. With that said, I too am glad to see 2006 and am happy that my long wait will soon be over! I could not agree more with kylasfamily. I think we all need to realize that the bottom line is that we do not have any control over what is happening. I think that reading into “the numbers” too much is very symptomatic of attempting to predict or control what is going on. As someone who has waited for greater than two years, trust me, we have NO control. With that said, I too am glad to see 2006 and am happy that my long wait will soon be over!

]]> By: hhbaby2 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-50525 hhbaby2 Wed, 05 Mar 2008 16:52:51 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-50525 I actually am totally psyched just to see '06 instead of '05--honestly, I thought we'd never get out of that year. And although 8 days isn't great, at least things are plodding along in the right direction. I know that I'll be 50 when we get our referral next year (4/06 LID, second baby) but have just decided, so what. As a friend of mine said the other day, you have to take your happiness when you can. This will be worth the wait! I actually am totally psyched just to see ’06 instead of ’05–honestly, I thought we’d never get out of that year. And although 8 days isn’t great, at least things are plodding along in the right direction. I know that I’ll be 50 when we get our referral next year (4/06 LID, second baby) but have just decided, so what. As a friend of mine said the other day, you have to take your happiness when you can. This will be worth the wait!

]]> By: rjk http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/comment-page-1/#comment-50504 rjk Wed, 05 Mar 2008 14:35:47 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2008/03/04/january-4/#comment-50504 Sending hugs and blessings out to all of you who received news of your babies this month!!! Congratulations! What a loooooooooong ride, but good for you for hanging in there. What a testimony of faith, persistance, and a desire for your child that you did not abandon ship! Your child will know they were wanted, hoped for, prayed for, waited for even when the wait got tough. What a blessing to pass along to them! Our thoughts and prayers are with you as you begin your new lives together!! Now, GO CCAA!!! BIG BATCH NEXT MONTH!! LID 1/13 Sending hugs and blessings out to all of you who received news of your babies this month!!! Congratulations! What a loooooooooong ride, but good for you for hanging in there. What a testimony of faith, persistance, and a desire for your child that you did not abandon ship! Your child will know they were wanted, hoped for, prayed for, waited for even when the wait got tough. What a blessing to pass along to them! Our thoughts and prayers are with you as you begin your new lives together!!

Now, GO CCAA!!! BIG BATCH NEXT MONTH!!

LID 1/13

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