Comments on: Projections http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/ Join the Rumor Queen as she looks for the latest rumors and then analyzes them, trying to figure out what the CCAA will do next. Mon, 15 Mar 2010 05:33:19 -0400 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.3 hourly 1 By: DebL http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59725 DebL Tue, 06 Jan 2009 15:17:21 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59725 "rjk" I too have told people that I would not recommend adopting from China at this time. I think it is too unstable and I think it is too sketchy to START a Chinese adoption at this time. I get this sense that things are just not what they seem and I would hate for them to start and invest time and effort when every thing is one big speculation. The program, in my opinion is not what it was.... “rjk” I too have told people that I would not recommend adopting from China at this time. I think it is too unstable and I think it is too sketchy to START a Chinese adoption at this time. I get this sense that things are just not what they seem and I would hate for them to start and invest time and effort when every thing is one big speculation. The program, in my opinion is not what it was….

]]> By: christi crittenden http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59723 christi crittenden Tue, 06 Jan 2009 14:50:42 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59723 Rumor Queen, I was just reviewing what you wrote and wanted to ask... Do you mean that only one day of LIDs will be referred for rime between February and MArch? Rumor Queen,
I was just reviewing what you wrote and wanted to ask… Do you mean that only one day of LIDs will be referred for rime between February and MArch?

]]> By: moonpie http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59709 moonpie Mon, 05 Jan 2009 17:05:00 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59709 I'm finally waking up to the fact that after 4 years (since starting our paper chase) that this is really going to happen. We may have our little one's picture by my 44th birthday in April-eek. May and June sound just fine too. We have been in a holding pattern for sooo long that the reality of it now is a bit of a shock. I started out so on fire and excited - telling everyone, shopping, dreaming, etc. but then as things slowed to a crawl, I think I chose the self protective route just in case things didn't work out. But now... yeehaw- we better get passports and a nursery in order! Moonpie 3/21/06 I’m finally waking up to the fact that after 4 years (since starting our paper chase) that this is really going to happen. We may have our little one’s picture by my 44th birthday in April-eek. May and June sound just fine too. We have been in a holding pattern for sooo long that the reality of it now is a bit of a shock. I started out so on fire and excited – telling everyone, shopping, dreaming, etc. but then as things slowed to a crawl, I think I chose the self protective route just in case things didn’t work out. But now… yeehaw- we better get passports and a nursery in order!

Moonpie
3/21/06

]]> By: ziegsma http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59705 ziegsma Mon, 05 Jan 2009 15:49:49 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59705 Looking at the scatter of x's on the past referrals chart...I see a kind of pattern leading to Aug 08...now that we are 6 months on the other side, maybe the x's will begin a move to the right. Seems as if we are due for a Smr 07 (bad) day soon. Looking at the scatter of x’s on the past referrals chart…I see a kind of pattern leading to Aug 08…now that we are 6 months on the other side, maybe the x’s will begin a move to the right.

Seems as if we are due for a Smr 07 (bad) day soon.

]]> By: RumorQueen http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59702 RumorQueen Mon, 05 Jan 2009 13:43:16 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59702 I've actually advised several people IRL about this. I tell them that if we were getting started now we would not look to China as a viable option. I explain the situation and then advise them to look at other programs, telling them I don't know enough about the other programs to tell them what is the best fit, but that if I were to start researching I would probably start my research with Ethiopia. I’ve actually advised several people IRL about this. I tell them that if we were getting started now we would not look to China as a viable option. I explain the situation and then advise them to look at other programs, telling them I don’t know enough about the other programs to tell them what is the best fit, but that if I were to start researching I would probably start my research with Ethiopia.

]]> By: JourneytoMia http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59701 JourneytoMia Mon, 05 Jan 2009 12:56:21 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59701 rjk~my advice to anyone thinking about that would be RUN, & I do mean RUN in the other direction. Do not pass go! I hate to be quite that negative, but with an LID of 07/20/07 & having now been logged in seventeen months & sixteen days we are being told we could a total of five to seven years total & in good faith I just could not recommend to anyone that it would be a wise idea to start this process right now. UNLESS, their heart is completely set on China & they have the time & the patience to wait it out. If they started now (& everyone else can chime in here with their guess), but even if it speeds up once they get to the new regulations LID's~someone starting now would still likely wait five years & that is if things go very well. I don't have any big scientific explanation or prediction. I am just going off of my own experience & those that I am close to. Folks that were just referred this last round had waited just under three years & we are seeing many less days referred as the wait has continued to grow over the last three years, so common sense would tell us that we will wait considerably longer than their wait time of three years. I would just be honest with your friend about the facts. I think if someone is completely aware of what they will face & is aware of the reality of China in relation to IA & then they still want to jump in with both feet then, by all means they should do it. However, my conscious would not allow me to encourage a friend to do so unless I was certain that they knew the facts & the truth as those of us that are in the midst of it know all too well. Best wishes to your friend...& for that matter to all of us waiting as we head into the New Year. rjk~my advice to anyone thinking about that would be RUN, & I do mean RUN in the other direction. Do not pass go! I hate to be quite that negative, but with an LID of 07/20/07 & having now been logged in seventeen months & sixteen days we are being told we could a total of five to seven years total & in good faith I just could not recommend to anyone that it would be a wise idea to start this process right now. UNLESS, their heart is completely set on China & they have the time & the patience to wait it out. If they started now (& everyone else can chime in here with their guess), but even if it speeds up once they get to the new regulations LID’s~someone starting now would still likely wait five years & that is if things go very well. I don’t have any big scientific explanation or prediction. I am just going off of my own experience & those that I am close to. Folks that were just referred this last round had waited just under three years & we are seeing many less days referred as the wait has continued to grow over the last three years, so common sense would tell us that we will wait considerably longer than their wait time of three years. I would just be honest with your friend about the facts. I think if someone is completely aware of what they will face & is aware of the reality of China in relation to IA & then they still want to jump in with both feet then, by all means they should do it. However, my conscious would not allow me to encourage a friend to do so unless I was certain that they knew the facts & the truth as those of us that are in the midst of it know all too well. Best wishes to your friend…& for that matter to all of us waiting as we head into the New Year.

]]> By: Norahs_dad http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59700 Norahs_dad Mon, 05 Jan 2009 12:39:18 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59700 p12 not that I find the situation funny but your Boooo's alwase made me smile, It was somthing I bagan to look for. glad you fillaly made the chart. Thank you for making me smile on some of the hard days. Glen p12 not that I find the situation funny but your Boooo’s alwase made me smile, It was somthing I bagan to look for.
glad you fillaly made the chart.
Thank you for making me smile on some of the hard days.
Glen

]]> By: rjk http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59699 rjk Mon, 05 Jan 2009 07:32:34 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59699 Hi! Haven't been on here in FOREVER because I've been busy with our new one from China, but I have a question for RQ and anyone else who might want to take a stab at it... What would you say (be honest; don't sugarcoat) to someone wanting to start compiling a dossier today for NSN????? I need to give my friend some advice, and since I've lost touch, I need some advice from all of y'all... Thanks! Hi! Haven’t been on here in FOREVER because I’ve been busy with our new one from China, but I have a question for RQ and anyone else who might want to take a stab at it…

What would you say (be honest; don’t sugarcoat) to someone wanting to start compiling a dossier today for NSN?????

I need to give my friend some advice, and since I’ve lost touch, I need some advice from all of y’all…

Thanks!

]]> By: p12 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59698 p12 Mon, 05 Jan 2009 03:18:35 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59698 Normally I shout out a big Booooooooo! ..... but our March 23rd LID is finally on the chart! Can it be real? Someone pinch me please! Normally I shout out a big Booooooooo! ….. but our March 23rd LID is finally on the chart!
Can it be real? Someone pinch me please!

]]> By: A sister 4 Isaac http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/01/03/projections-19/comment-page-1/#comment-59697 A sister 4 Isaac Mon, 05 Jan 2009 00:58:22 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=2157#comment-59697 I am so happy to see our LID on the projections!!! LID 3/27/08. I am thrilled to be starting the New Year with February referals behind us. I am praying that we will recieve our referal in the early summer. www.ourchinaangel.com I am so happy to see our LID on the projections!!! LID 3/27/08. I am thrilled to be starting the New Year with February referals behind us. I am praying that we will recieve our referal in the early summer.

http://www.ourchinaangel.com

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