Comments on: Projections http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/ Join the Rumor Queen as she looks for the latest rumors and then analyzes them, trying to figure out what the CCAA will do next. Fri, 10 Feb 2012 20:34:21 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.4 By: waiting4baby32 http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66042 waiting4baby32 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 23:06:08 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66042 Macy girl I have the same LID. Do you think we will get matched in 9 months? The China Forecastor says December of 2010. : ( Macy girl I have the same LID. Do you think we will get matched in 9 months? The China Forecastor says December of 2010. : (

]]> By: waiting for jessica http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66032 waiting for jessica Thu, 27 Aug 2009 10:52:33 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66032 Thanks Noendinsight. Sometimes I have trouble with charts. Thanks Noendinsight. Sometimes I have trouble with charts.

]]> By: Noendinsight http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66027 Noendinsight Wed, 26 Aug 2009 14:51:20 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66027 waiting for jessica - look at the chart above the one you are looking at and it shows historically what they have done. those titles refer to the number of referrals that have been sent in the past. for the past six months they have done the Spr 2008 small column or in between that and the next column (horrid). it's been 19 months since they've done the Spring 07 bad column, so that's unlikely. most people look at the first column as a "not-so-good" case (Spr 2008 Small) and the second column as a "very-good-please-happen" case (Wntr ‘08 horrid) and anticipate referrals will fall somewhere in-between. personally i ignore the last three columns (Smr ’07, 2006 Mid Case and 2006 Good Case) because it's been almost two years since the C2A2 has done that many referrals. it's still good to see them because it helps illustrate the slow down and allows us to dream things will get better. i'm not doing a great job of explaining it and i'm sure someone else can do a better job!!! waiting for jessica – look at the chart above the one you are looking at and it shows historically what they have done.

those titles refer to the number of referrals that have been sent in the past. for the past six months they have done the Spr 2008 small column or in between that and the next column (horrid).

it’s been 19 months since they’ve done the Spring 07 bad column, so that’s unlikely.

most people look at the first column as a “not-so-good” case (Spr 2008 Small) and the second column as a “very-good-please-happen” case (Wntr ‘08 horrid) and anticipate referrals will fall somewhere in-between.

personally i ignore the last three columns (Smr ’07, 2006 Mid Case and 2006 Good Case) because it’s been almost two years since the C2A2 has done that many referrals. it’s still good to see them because it helps illustrate the slow down and allows us to dream things will get better.

i’m not doing a great job of explaining it and i’m sure someone else can do a better job!!!

]]> By: waiting for jessica http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66026 waiting for jessica Wed, 26 Aug 2009 13:31:01 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66026 I was looking at the projections it said. Spr wntr smr 2006 2006 2008 2008 2008 mid good small horrid bad I'm sorry I just do not understand that. I do not post very often I do not want to seem stupid. I understand the left hand column where is says Sept Oct Nov Dec Our LID is 5/16/2006 I was looking at the projections it said.
Spr wntr smr 2006 2006
2008 2008 2008 mid good
small horrid bad

I’m sorry I just do not understand that.
I do not post very often I do not want to seem stupid.

I understand the left hand column where is says
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

Our LID is 5/16/2006

]]> By: MacyGirlInChina http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66024 MacyGirlInChina Wed, 26 Aug 2009 12:22:10 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66024 We are LID 5/30/06.....so have been fully prepared to wait another 1.5 to 2 years. Really, after 39 months, that seems like the home stretch. But now seeing RQ's predictions, well, it looks like it could be sooner than that. I had a bit of a HOLY **** moment. We aren't prepared!!!!!! We've spent the past 40 months moaning and b******* about the wait, and now that it could conceivably be staring us in the face, I for one am panicking a bit. We still have a good bit of money to save. I know, I know, we've had 40 months to do it, but it always seemed so far away. So now the scramble is on. Does this sort of panic bit happen to everyone??? It's like: "what the heck have you been doing all this time?" HELP and reassurance from our RQ family would be appreciated. Are we (I) really panicking for no reason? Cindy LID 5/30/06...perhaps closer than we think...YIKES! We are LID 5/30/06…..so have been fully prepared to wait another 1.5 to 2 years. Really, after 39 months, that seems like the home stretch.
But now seeing RQ’s predictions, well, it looks like it could be sooner than that.
I had a bit of a HOLY **** moment.
We aren’t prepared!!!!!!
We’ve spent the past 40 months moaning and b******* about the wait, and now that it could conceivably be staring us in the face, I for one am panicking a bit.
We still have a good bit of money to save. I know, I know, we’ve had 40 months to do it, but it always seemed so far away. So now the scramble is on.

Does this sort of panic bit happen to everyone???
It’s like: “what the heck have you been doing all this time?”

HELP and reassurance from our RQ family would be appreciated.
Are we (I) really panicking for no reason?

Cindy
LID 5/30/06…perhaps closer than we think…YIKES!

]]> By: A sister 4 Isaac http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66023 A sister 4 Isaac Wed, 26 Aug 2009 00:34:31 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66023 Thanks RQ for all you do. I don't know how you find the time. I am so happy not to see the 27th listed in any of the columns! I take it that means we are in for sure next month. I can hardly believe it!!!!! I don't really want to wish our lives away but I can not wait until next month. Thank you again for all you do, it really does help the wait feel a little better. LID 3/27/06 www.ourchinaangel.com Thanks RQ for all you do. I don’t know how you find the time. I am so happy not to see the 27th listed in any of the columns! I take it that means we are in for sure next month. I can hardly believe it!!!!! I don’t really want to wish our lives away but I can not wait until next month. Thank you again for all you do, it really does help the wait feel a little better.

LID 3/27/06
http://www.ourchinaangel.com

]]> By: scdelacruz http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66022 scdelacruz Tue, 25 Aug 2009 21:40:22 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66022 Miasmama, We are June 10, 2006. I don't know what we would do without this site. Our agency is good but they don't have any information. The only good stuff is here. Perhaps the process will move along quicker now. Susan & Joe LID 06-10-06 Miasmama,

We are June 10, 2006. I don’t know what we would do without this site. Our agency is good but they don’t have any information. The only good stuff is here.

Perhaps the process will move along quicker now.

Susan & Joe
LID 06-10-06

]]> By: ldw4mlo http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66021 ldw4mlo Tue, 25 Aug 2009 21:20:34 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66021 There is no pattern of 2 day batches. There is March which pretty much everyone agrees is the largest month in the history of China adoptions so far. You can't take the snapshot of March and apply it broadly. The "average" days referred for over 2 years has 5 days. There is no pattern of 2 day batches. There is March which pretty much everyone agrees is the largest month in the history of China adoptions so far.

You can’t take the snapshot of March and apply it broadly.

The “average” days referred for over 2 years has 5 days.

]]> By: marissasmom http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66020 marissasmom Tue, 25 Aug 2009 21:19:25 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66020 I'm finally NEXT!!!!!!!!!!!!! I can't believe it. Thank you so much for all you do, RQ. We love you. You have been so helpful with all your information and the cameraderie (sp?) of this community that you have made. THANK YOU!!!! <3 <3 <3 I’m finally NEXT!!!!!!!!!!!!! I can’t believe it. Thank you so much for all you do, RQ. We love you. You have been so helpful with all your information and the cameraderie (sp?) of this community that you have made. THANK YOU!!!!
<3 <3 <3

]]> By: Anonymommy http://chinaadopttalk.com/2009/08/25/projections-26/comment-page-1/#comment-66019 Anonymommy Tue, 25 Aug 2009 20:51:24 +0000 http://chinaadopttalk.com/?p=4257#comment-66019 miasmama and cangirl -- c'mon over to the June '06 LID Room! And, join the rest of us Juners agonizing over the wait and predicting how unprepared we'll be. We just started a LID List and need your input. miasmama and cangirl — c’mon over to the June ’06 LID Room! And, join the rest of us Juners agonizing over the wait and predicting how unprepared we’ll be. We just started a LID List and need your input.

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