Projections
The first chart shows the size (in poll numbers) of the previous batches and this batch. Please remember each poll has to stand by itself, you can’t compare numbers from different polls. We can still get an idea of how the sizes of the batches have gone, but you can’t do a direct comparison.
I had to create a new projection column this month – you can look at the numbers and get an idea of why.
Next we’ll take a look at how reality has looked in hindsight with the projections. The graph below shows where past referral batches have fallen on my projections, the X shows where the actual referrals fell. In those cases where I’ve added a new column and things would have looked different had that column been in place at the time, I’ve used a ~ to show where they would have fallen had we had the new column.
And finally, here are my projections:
You can always find your way back to the Projections and When posts by clicking on the Analysis category in the lower right hand column.
I’ll end this with my standard disclaimer: As always, projections are based on the CCCWA continuing to do what they have been doing. There is nothing to say they will follow their recent behavior. They could choose to do a lot less, or a lot more.
.
January 25th, 2012 at 8:04 am
Thanks,
Should Sept 22nd be in as June/July instead of July/August,
January 25th, 2012 at 8:11 am
Sorry to be a nuisance, but is there a colume left out, as from the poll, there are 97 in from 9/9 – 22/9, and I wouldnt imagine they would do all those referrals.
Thanks again.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:11 am
Thanks RQ, this has to be a lot of work. I was anxiously waiting for this post, we are finally in the top box!! Even in the new smaller column! So hopefully the CCCWA gets there!!!
LID 8/28/06
January 25th, 2012 at 10:23 am
I am personally thinking they will only get to the 23rd or 24th and then the next month do to the 31st? In terms of numbers it would be pathetic but I just can’t imagine that the CCCWA would do 13 or 14 days. They could do up to and including the 29th and it would be less RQ families than this month I just can’t imagine they will do that many days???
But ohhhhhhh how I HOPE they do!!!!!!
lid Aug 29
January 25th, 2012 at 11:57 am
yes, another cry in the night here for the missing june/july (which is where WE will be…!)
January 25th, 2012 at 4:37 pm
Still dreaming…remember they did 14 days just last September to finish the month of July…a batch of 46 on the polls. It was the last decent size batch. In fact the previous ‘big batch’ was 10 days to virtually finish June. Very possible. I hope that’s the case! I’d love Sept to be first in line, finally :-)
January 25th, 2012 at 5:31 pm
It is a possibility for sure the “46″ RQ family batch (14 days) was actually sent out last Aug. The batch to finish up June was actually “93″ RQ families which was huge!!!!
Anything is possible with the CCCWA – there is no rhyme or reason anymore???