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Archive for the 'Analysis' Category

Projections

Monday, August 23rd, 2010

The first chart shows the size (in poll numbers) of the previous batches and this batch. Please remember that each poll has to stand by itself, you can’t compare numbers from different polls. We can still get an idea of how the sizes of the batches have gone, but you can’t do a direct comparison. [...]

When: NSN Referrals

Thursday, August 19th, 2010

The last 12 referral batches arrived at 32, 31, 52, 51, 27, 34, 28, 35, 35, 28, 38, and 32 day intervals.
The shortest time frame is 27 days, the longest is 52.
The average is 35, median is 33. If we throw out the two highest and two lowest then the average is 32 and the [...]

Poll Number Analysis

Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

I’ve talked before about how people who are closer to a referral are more likely to be hanging out here, and thus more likely to participate in our polls. I know there has been some discussion about how big the months are in relation to each other, with the idea that we will get through [...]

Projections

Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

The first chart shows the size (in poll numbers) of the previous batches and this batch. Please remember that each poll has to stand by itself, you can’t compare numbers from different polls. We can still get an idea of how the sizes of the batches have gone, but you can’t do a direct comparison. [...]

When: NSN Referrals

Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

The last 12 referral batches arrived at 30, 32, 31, 52, 51, 27, 34, 28, 35, 35, 28, and 38 day intervals.
The shortest time frame is 27 days, the longest is 52.
The average is 35, the median is 33. However, if we throw the two 50 day plus intervals out then that makes [...]

Polls – Scientific vs not-Scientific

Thursday, June 24th, 2010

Our polls are not scientific. If they were scientific then I would contact people who were adopting and ask them questions, and I would have a way to make sure I was getting a random sample. Also, I would know for sure (within a few percentage points) what percentage of the total I was polling.
Our [...]