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Archive for the 'Analysis' Category

When

Wednesday, July 16th, 2008

The last 12 referral batches arrived at 28, 32, 29, 31, 33, 26, 32, 31, 32, 28, 38 and 28 days.
The least time between batches is 26 days, the most is 38, and the average is 31. We see 28 and 32 three times each, and we see 31 twice.
The soonest I would expect to [...]

Projections

Tuesday, July 15th, 2008

Sorry I seem to have pulled a disappearing act. Lots of things going on at work right now and may continue this way for another week or two as I approach a couple of deadlines. I don’t think I’ll be gone for days at a time again, though. I should be around several times a [...]

When

Monday, June 16th, 2008

First, if you haven’t check out the Babies! in a while, there are more pictures.
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The last 12 referral batches arrived at 30, 28, 32, 29, 31, 33, 26, 32, 31, 32, 28, and 38 days.
The least time between batches is 26 days, the most is 38, and the average is 31. We see 28 and [...]

Projections

Friday, June 13th, 2008

As I’ve said before, even though we had more days in this batch than we’ve seen in a while, the numbers weren’t enough to show a speed up. We still didn’t quite make the Horrid Case Scenario.
Let’s take a historical look of how the raw numbers have fallen in the past as compared to this [...]

When

Thursday, May 8th, 2008

First, the Babies! post has been pushed to the bottom of the page, and another family moved up into the pictures area if you want to check it out.
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The last 12 referral batches arrived at 35, 30, 28, 32, 29, 31, 33, 26, 32, 31, 32 and 28 days.
The least time between batches is 26 [...]

Another Visual, and HFMD in China

Wednesday, May 7th, 2008

Some people were asking about my horrid case scenario of January 23. Let us take a look at the poll data on the left, the historical numbers are 60, 184, 102, 79, and 107. Going to January 23rd takes us to 152. Remember, horrid case scenario does not mean worst case scenario, it’s only an [...]