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Archive for the 'Analysis' Category

When

Wednesday, November 30th, 2011

I am pleased that, so far, referrals have arrived at a steady interval. We’ve come to expect the CCCWA to send them out sporadically during the last few months of the year, so this has been a pleasant surprise. The last 12 referral batches arrived at 46, 47, 22, 36, 28, 31, 31, 27, 33, [...]

Projections

Friday, October 28th, 2011

The good news this month was that we didn’t have to wait long. The bad news is that it’s a teeny little batch — both in days and in poll numbers. The first chart shows the size (in poll numbers) of the previous batches and this batch. Please remember each poll has to stand by [...]

When

Thursday, October 27th, 2011

The last 12 referral batches arrived at 33, 46, 47, 22, 36, 28, 31, 31, 27, 33, 31 and 25 day intervals. The shortest time frame is 22 days, the longest is 47. The average over the last year is 33, median is 31. If we throw out the two highest and two lowest the [...]

Projections

Tuesday, October 4th, 2011

Those of you taking marbles out of a jar had a really fun month. And those included in this batch had a dream come true after a very long wait. We know the number of days was large this time — fourteen days is huge. However, we know the large number of days is because [...]

When

Sunday, October 2nd, 2011

The last 12 referral batches arrived at 44, 33, 46, 47, 22, 36, 28, 31, 31, 27, 33, and 31 day intervals. The shortest time frame is 22 days, the longest is 47. The average over the last year is 34, median is 32. If we throw out the two highest and two lowest the [...]

Projections

Friday, September 2nd, 2011

Two days is disheartening, but the good news is we’re coming up on the time frame when the CCAA moved their offices, so we should make it through a big chunk of days with this batch. The first chart shows the size (in poll numbers) of the previous batches and this batch. Please remember each [...]